Insights from Merrill Lynch Chief Investment Strategist Richard Bernstein
The latest Merrill Lynch Research Investment Committee Report (published on 12 August 2008), or "RIC", by Chief Investment Strategist Richard Bernstein, emphasizes that the global financial sector is under stress, and that the issues confronting the financial sector are not simply related to the "US subprime problem." and "patience will be well rewarded". Insights from the RIC report:
- The credit crisis is clearly a global event.
- Outlook for global financials is still not a particularly attractive one.
- Housing and credit market is in classic "Catch-22" situation. Housing can't stabilize until credit conditions do, but credit can't stabilize until housing does.
- The over-capacity in the global banking system is widespread, and consolidation seems certain to lie ahead as lending capacity is rationalized and reduced.
- Expect the formation of a government entity, similar to 1989/90's Resolution Trust Corporation that is designed to facilitate the sector's consolidation.
- Global debt continues to outperform global equity this year, which suggests that investors are being compensated for their time on the sidelines. Patience will be well-rewarded.
To read Merrill Lynch RIC transcript, click here.
The latest Merrill Lynch Investment Strategy Update (published on 12 August 2008) by Richard Bernstein, Chief Investment Strategist and Dan Suzuki, CFA, Investment Strategist has a view that credit market appears to be tightening; and credit crisis is bigger than current consensus. Insights from the Investment Strategy Update report:
- Credit Availability Indicator shows further credit tightening.
- The rising cost of capital within the global economy as a result of the credit crisis is likely to slow global growth perhaps more than investors currently expect.
- The credit crisis is larger than current consensus.
To read Merrill Lynch Investment Strategy Update transcript, click here.
Disclaimer: This is not an endorsement nor recommendation by UndervaluedSecurities.com on Merril Lynch's opinions and views. The information posted here is only for entertainment purpose. According to Merrill Lynch: the research report provides general information only. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes an offer or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell any securities or other investment or any options, futures or derivatives related to such securities or investments. It is not intended to provide personal investment advice and it does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this report. Investors should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities, other investment or investment strategies discussed or recommended in this report and should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized. Investors should note that income from such securities or other investments, if any, may fluctuate and that price or value of such securities and investments may rise or fall. Accordingly, investors may receive back less than originally invested. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Diversification does not guarantee against loss in declining markets.
- Recent Economic Perspectives from Bank of America Securities + US Unemployment Rate
- Deleveraging Is On The Way. Embrace Simpler Lifestyle!
- Europe puts $2.3 trillion on line for banks - Is it still too small?
- Global financial crisis requires you to be patience and use your common-sense
- Credit Default Swaps Market: A Giant Phantom Market Poised To Collapse
- Breaking News: Congress OKs Historic $700 Billion Bailout Bill; BUT IS IT TOO LATE?
- Charlie Rose Interview with Warren Buffett on Wed, Oct 1, 2008
- Recommended Book: "The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life." by Alice Schroeder
- FDIC's Failed Bank List
- Acquisition of Washington Mutual’s banks by JPMorgan Chase. Wamu's shareholders will get nothing.